Impacts of Export Restrictions on the Global Personal Protective Equipment Trade Network During COVID-19 | |
Ye, Yang6; Zhang, Qingpeng6; Cao, Zhidong1,2,3; Chen, Frank Youhua4; Yan, Houmin4; Stanley, H. Eugene5; Zeng, Daniel Dajun1,2,3 | |
刊名 | ADVANCED THEORY AND SIMULATIONS |
2021-12-07 | |
页码 | 9 |
关键词 | coronavirus disease 2019 export restrictions network personal protective equipment severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 |
DOI | 10.1002/adts.202100352 |
通讯作者 | Zhang, Qingpeng(qingpeng.zhang@cityu.edu.hk) |
英文摘要 | The COVID-19 pandemic has caused a dramatic surge in demand for personal protective equipment (PPE) worldwide. Many countries have imposed export restrictions on PPE to ensure the sufficient domestic supply. The surging demand and export restrictions cause shortage contagions on the global PPE trade network. Here, an integrated network model is developed, which integrates a metapopulation model and a threshold model, to investigate the shortage contagion patterns. The metapopulation model captures disease contagion across countries. The threshold model captures the shortage contagion on the global PPE trade network. Due to the Pareto distribution in global exports, the shortage contagion pattern is mainly determined by the export restriction policies of the top exporters. Export restrictions exacerbate the shortages of PPE and cause the shortage contagion to transmit even faster than the disease contagion. To some extent, export restrictions can provide benefits for self-sufficient countries, at the sacrifice of immediate economic shocks at not-self-sufficient countries. With export restrictions, a large amount of PPE is hoarded instead of being distributed to where it is most needed, particularly at the early stage. Cooperation between countries plays an essential role in preventing global shortages of PPE regardless of the production level. Except for promoting global cooperation, governments and international organizations should take actions to reduce supply chain barriers and work together to increase global PPE production. |
资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[71972164] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[72042018] ; Research Grants Council of Hong Kong[11218221] ; Research Grants Council of Hong Kong[C1143-20GF] |
WOS关键词 | TRANSMISSION ; DYNAMICS ; CASCADE ; COMPLEX ; WUHAN |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
语种 | 英语 |
出版者 | WILEY-V C H VERLAG GMBH |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000727401500001 |
资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Research Grants Council of Hong Kong |
内容类型 | 期刊论文 |
源URL | [http://ir.ia.ac.cn/handle/173211/46566] |
专题 | 自动化研究所_复杂系统管理与控制国家重点实验室_互联网大数据与安全信息学研究中心 |
通讯作者 | Zhang, Qingpeng |
作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Automat, State Key Lab Management & Control Complex Syst, Beijing 100864, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Artificial Intelligence, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 3.Shenzhen Artificial Intelligence & Data Sci Inst, Shenzhen, Peoples R China 4.City Univ Hong Kong, Coll Business, Dept Management Sci, Hong Kong, Peoples R China 5.Boston Univ, Dept Phys, Boston, MA 02215 USA 6.City Univ Hong Kong, Sch Data Sci, Hong Kong, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ye, Yang,Zhang, Qingpeng,Cao, Zhidong,et al. Impacts of Export Restrictions on the Global Personal Protective Equipment Trade Network During COVID-19[J]. ADVANCED THEORY AND SIMULATIONS,2021:9. |
APA | Ye, Yang.,Zhang, Qingpeng.,Cao, Zhidong.,Chen, Frank Youhua.,Yan, Houmin.,...&Zeng, Daniel Dajun.(2021).Impacts of Export Restrictions on the Global Personal Protective Equipment Trade Network During COVID-19.ADVANCED THEORY AND SIMULATIONS,9. |
MLA | Ye, Yang,et al."Impacts of Export Restrictions on the Global Personal Protective Equipment Trade Network During COVID-19".ADVANCED THEORY AND SIMULATIONS (2021):9. |
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