Spatio-temporal distributions of climate disasters and the response of wheat yields in China from 1983 to 2008
Shi W. J. ; Tao F. L.
2014
关键词Climate change Wheat yield Drought Impact Sensitivity Response drought disaster crop yields plain adaptation extremes
英文摘要Climate disasters are now on the rise and more likely to increase in frequency and/or severity under climate change in the future. To clearly illustrate spatial-temporal distributions of climate disasters and the response of wheat yields to disasters over the past three decades, several disaster indices including the impact of climate disasters, the sensitivity to climate disasters and the response index of wheat yield losses to climate disasters were defined and calculated. The impact and sensitivity indices were examined by the agricultural production losses due to climate disasters, and the response of wheat yields to climate disasters was assessed by wheat yield loss compared with the 5-year moving average. The results showed that the indices of climate disaster impacts and sensitivities as well as response index of wheat yields to climate disasters could represent the spatial-temporal distributions of climate disasters well in the whole China. Droughts in northern China had higher impacts and sensitivities than those in southern China during the period 1983-2008, but the impacts of floods were opposite. In northern China, although impacted area by drought was larger than that by flood, the flood sensitivities were larger than drought sensitivities when flood happened. Although drought significantly affected wheat yields in most of the regions with drier conditions during 1983-2008 in major wheat-producing regions, better management practices like irrigation and drought-tolerant cultivars applied in the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain can adapt to climate disasters especially droughts. To ensure the stability of agricultural production, future food security will need to be achieved through quantifying the relative effects of climate disasters and effective adaptation to increasingly frequent extreme climate events.
出处Natural Hazards
74
2
569-583
收录类别SCI
语种英语
ISSN号0921-030X
内容类型SCI/SSCI论文
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/29617]  
专题地理科学与资源研究所_历年回溯文献
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Shi W. J.,Tao F. L.. Spatio-temporal distributions of climate disasters and the response of wheat yields in China from 1983 to 2008. 2014.
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