THE IMPACT OF THE ENERGY TRANSITION ON CHINA'S ECONOMY UNDER THE CARBON PEAKING AND CARBON NEUTRALITY GOALS

doi:10.2298/TSCI2205043L

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	THE IMPACT OF THE ENERGY TRANSITION ON CHINA'S ECONOMY UNDER THE CARBON PEAKING AND CARBON NEUTRALITY GOALS
	Lu, Yachen 3,4; Dai, Jiaquan 3,4; Wang, Lining 3,4; Liu, Yu 2; Wu, Chunfang 3,4
刊名	THERMAL SCIENCE
	2022
卷号	26 期号:5 页码:4043
关键词	carbon peaking carbon neutrality energy transition CGE model macro-economy
ISSN号	0354-9836
DOI	10.2298/TSCI2205043L
文献子类	Article
英文摘要	With the acceleration of the global response to climate change, China announced to the world in 2020 the goals of carbon peaking by 2030 and carbon neutrality by 2060, which reflects its firm determination implement Intended Nationally Deter-mined Contributions. Energy transition is the key to achieving the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals. It is of great theoretical and practical significance to study the impact of low carbon energy transition on China's macro-economy under the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals. Based on three carbon neutrality scenarios, this paper uses the dynamic computable general equilibrium model to simulate and estimate the impact of different energy transition pathways on China's macro-economy. The results show that under the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality target, accelerating energy transition will have a certain nega-tive impact on China's economic growth, and different energy transition pathways have different impacts on the macro-economy. The sustainable transformation sce-nario that promotes energy transformation through the carbon tax policy to ad-just carbon emission intensity and the renewable energy incentive policy to reduce costs has the least negative impact on the macro-economy, promoting employment growth, and optimizing industrial structure to a certain extent in the process of energy transformation. In conclusion, relevant policy recommendations are put forward for the achievement of the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals, and the promotion of high quality economic development.
WOS研究方向	Thermodynamics
语种	英语
WOS记录号	WOS:000879518300002
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.casisd.cn/handle/190111/12074]
专题	可持续发展政策研究所
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Sci & Dev, Beijing, Peoples R China 2.China Natl Petr Corp, Key Lab Oil & Gas Market Simulat & Price Forecast, Beijing, Peoples R China 3.CNPC Econ & Technol Res Inst, Beijing, Peoples R China 4.China Univ Petr, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Lu, Yachen,Dai, Jiaquan,Wang, Lining,et al. THE IMPACT OF THE ENERGY TRANSITION ON CHINA'S ECONOMY UNDER THE CARBON PEAKING AND CARBON NEUTRALITY GOALS[J]. THERMAL SCIENCE,2022,26(5):4043.
APA	Lu, Yachen,Dai, Jiaquan,Wang, Lining,Liu, Yu,&Wu, Chunfang.(2022).THE IMPACT OF THE ENERGY TRANSITION ON CHINA'S ECONOMY UNDER THE CARBON PEAKING AND CARBON NEUTRALITY GOALS.THERMAL SCIENCE,26(5),4043.
MLA	Lu, Yachen,et al."THE IMPACT OF THE ENERGY TRANSITION ON CHINA'S ECONOMY UNDER THE CARBON PEAKING AND CARBON NEUTRALITY GOALS".THERMAL SCIENCE 26.5(2022):4043.