Modeling and analyzing the effects of fixed-time intervention on transmission dynamics of echinococcosis in Qinghai province | |
Zhang, Yunhu1,2; Xiao, Yanni2 | |
刊名 | Mathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences |
2021-04-01 | |
卷号 | 44期号:6页码:4276-4296 |
关键词 | Cell proliferation Dynamics Transmissions Basic reproduction number Contaminated environment Control and prevention Environmental hygienes Globally asymptotical stabilities Periodic transmission Transmission dynamics Uniform persistence |
ISSN号 | 0170-4214 |
DOI | 10.1002/mma.7029 |
英文摘要 | In this study, we propose a mathematical model with periodic transmission and impulsive interventions to describe the transmission dynamics of echinococcosis in multiple hosts and to explore the efficacy of control and prevention measures. Our model includes the life cycle of Echinococcus in dog population (stray dogs and domestic dogs), contaminated environment, and human population to gain new biological insight. Note that different control strategies on stray and domestic dog populations may lead to inconsistency in the impulsive periods and system itself period, which brings great challenges in analyzing the proposed periodic system with multiple pulses. We theoretically examined the threshold dynamics, uniform persistence of disease on the basis of basic reproduction number. In particular, we define the basic reproduction number for stray and domestic dog population and obtain the globally asymptotical stability of the disease-free periodic solutions. We further obtain that echinococcosis may persist in human population if it persists in any dog population. Numerical simulations show that increasing the delivery rate and frequency of anthelmintics in domestic dogs and increasing the culling intensity and frequency in wild dogs could greatly reduce the disease incidence in two populations, respectively. The findings suggest that culling measures on wild dog population and environmental hygiene are crucial strategies in the control of the spread of echinococcosis in human being. © 2020 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. |
WOS研究方向 | Mathematics |
语种 | 英语 |
出版者 | John Wiley and Sons Ltd |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000592330300001 |
内容类型 | 期刊论文 |
源URL | [http://ir.lut.edu.cn/handle/2XXMBERH/147728] |
专题 | 理学院 |
作者单位 | 1.School of Science, Lanzhou University of Technology, Lanzhou; 730050, China 2.Department of Applied Mathematics, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an; 710049, China; |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhang, Yunhu,Xiao, Yanni. Modeling and analyzing the effects of fixed-time intervention on transmission dynamics of echinococcosis in Qinghai province[J]. Mathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences,2021,44(6):4276-4296. |
APA | Zhang, Yunhu,&Xiao, Yanni.(2021).Modeling and analyzing the effects of fixed-time intervention on transmission dynamics of echinococcosis in Qinghai province.Mathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences,44(6),4276-4296. |
MLA | Zhang, Yunhu,et al."Modeling and analyzing the effects of fixed-time intervention on transmission dynamics of echinococcosis in Qinghai province".Mathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences 44.6(2021):4276-4296. |
个性服务 |
查看访问统计 |
相关权益政策 |
暂无数据 |
收藏/分享 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论