Contribution of China's online car-hailing services to its 2050 carbon target: Energy consumption assessment based on the GCAM-SE model

doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112714

	Contribution of China's online car-hailing services to its 2050 carbon target: Energy consumption assessment based on the GCAM-SE model
	Wu, Tian 1; Wang, Shouyang 1,4; Wang, Lining 3; Tang, Xiao 2
刊名	ENERGY POLICY
	2022
卷号	160 页码:13
关键词	Online car-hailing Carbon emissions Energy consumption Regulatory stringency Global change assessment model
ISSN号	0301-4215
DOI	10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112714
英文摘要	As online car-hailing services in China have matured and gained legitimacy as a traffic business activity supported by national policies, they have exceeded the expected speed of development. This paper estimates the extent to which online car-hailing services will affect China's energy consumption and carbon emissions under several scenarios. To weigh the substitution effect of online car hailing toward China's 2050 environmental goals, a Global Change Assessment Model 4.0-Sharing Economic (GCAM-SE) is used to analyze and associated government policy. Results indicate that by 2050 China's online car-hailing will achieve emission reductions of 8.36, 14.51, and 95.66 MTCO2 under, respectively, strict, moderate, and non-strict levels of the national Preliminary Rules on the Management of Online Car Hailing (PRMOCH). In 2015-2033, strict PRMOCH can better reduce energy consumption and carbon emissions by controlling the number of online car-hailing services, as compared to non-strict PRMOCH. After 2033, online car-hailing services will automatically realize the emission reduction function, whereas in this study's scenarios 1 and 2, the PRMOCH will hinder realizing car hailing's intended emission reduction function. These results strongly suggest the policy for online car hailing will be counterproductive unless policy makers consider the difference between the PRMOCH validity period and invalidity period.
资助项目	National Natural Science Foundation of China[71804086] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71988101] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[71804181] ; Tsinghua University Independent Research Program[2019THZWJC04]
WOS研究方向	Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
语种	英语
出版者	ELSEVIER SCI LTD
WOS记录号	WOS:000730135500004
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/59697]
专题	中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院
通讯作者	Tang, Xiao
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China 2.Tsinghua Univ, Sch Publ Policy & Management, Beijing, Peoples R China 3.CNPC Econ & Technol Res Inst, Beijing, Peoples R China 4.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wu, Tian,Wang, Shouyang,Wang, Lining,et al. Contribution of China's online car-hailing services to its 2050 carbon target: Energy consumption assessment based on the GCAM-SE model[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2022,160:13.
APA	Wu, Tian,Wang, Shouyang,Wang, Lining,&Tang, Xiao.(2022).Contribution of China's online car-hailing services to its 2050 carbon target: Energy consumption assessment based on the GCAM-SE model.ENERGY POLICY,160,13.
MLA	Wu, Tian,et al."Contribution of China's online car-hailing services to its 2050 carbon target: Energy consumption assessment based on the GCAM-SE model".ENERGY POLICY 160(2022):13.