A discrete-time and finite-state Markov chain based in-play prediction model for NBA basketball matches

doi:10.1080/03610918.2019.1633351

	A discrete-time and finite-state Markov chain based in-play prediction model for NBA basketball matches
	Shi, Jian 1,2; Song, Kai 1,2
刊名	COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS-SIMULATION AND COMPUTATION
	2021-11-02
卷号	50 期号:11 页码:3768-3776
关键词	Betting In-play predictions Markov chain Positive returns Uncertainty analysis
ISSN号	0361-0918
DOI	10.1080/03610918.2019.1633351
英文摘要	In this article, a discrete-time and finite-state Markov chain model is developed to fit the NBA basketball data. It can be used to produce in-play prediction for basketball matches. An iterative algorithm is designed to calculate probabilities of the final score difference. Empirical study shows that the proposed model performs well, and more profoundly it can have positive return when we bet with the market.
WOS研究方向	Mathematics
语种	英语
出版者	TAYLOR & FRANCIS INC
WOS记录号	WOS:000715739100019
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/59527]
专题	中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院
通讯作者	Song, Kai
作者单位	1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Math Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Shi, Jian,Song, Kai. A discrete-time and finite-state Markov chain based in-play prediction model for NBA basketball matches[J]. COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS-SIMULATION AND COMPUTATION,2021,50(11):3768-3776.
APA	Shi, Jian,&Song, Kai.(2021).A discrete-time and finite-state Markov chain based in-play prediction model for NBA basketball matches.COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS-SIMULATION AND COMPUTATION,50(11),3768-3776.
MLA	Shi, Jian,et al."A discrete-time and finite-state Markov chain based in-play prediction model for NBA basketball matches".COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS-SIMULATION AND COMPUTATION 50.11(2021):3768-3776.