Risk Assessment of Water Resources Carrying Capacity in China

doi:10.1111/1752-1688.12936

	Risk Assessment of Water Resources Carrying Capacity in China
	Lv, Aifeng 1; Han, Yan 1; Zhu, Wenbin 1; Zhang, Shifeng 1; Zhao, Weihua 2
刊名	JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN WATER RESOURCES ASSOCIATION
	2021-07-27
页码	13
关键词	water resources carrying capacity risk assessment Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation method China
ISSN号	1093-474X
DOI	10.1111/1752-1688.12936
通讯作者	Han, Yan(hanyan78@163.com)
英文摘要	As a fundamental natural resource and a strategic economic resource, water resources play a key supporting role in the process of social and economic development. In this paper, risk factors influencing the water resources carrying capacity (WRCC) were investigated based on risk theory and resources carrying capacity theory, and a method for the risk assessment of the WRCC was proposed. The vulnerability of WRCC system was evaluated by using the Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation method, the hazard of WRCC system was calculated by using the comprehensive hazard index, and then the risk of WRCC was obtained by combining the vulnerability with the hazard. The risk of WRCC in China due to climate change, urbanization, and industrialization was thoroughly investigated. The results demonstrated that the risk of WRCC was higher in Northern China than in Southern China and was higher in developed areas than in developing areas. The risk was observed to be highest in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. Meanwhile, the results also suggested that the risk of WRCC can be reduced in two ways: (1) Reducing the pressure on the water resources carrying system caused by economic and social activities; and (2) increasing the water resources supply in certain areas. The risk assessment of the WRCC presented here provides a valuable reference for the management and sustainable utilization of water resources in China.
资助项目	Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA20010201] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFC0401307] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2017YFC1502903] ; National Major Science and Technology Program for Water Pollution Control and Treatment[2017ZX07101001] ; Important Science & Technology Specific Projects of Qinghai Province[2019-SF-A4-1] ; National Natural Science Foundation of Qinghai Province[2019-ZJ-7020]
WOS研究方向	Engineering ; Geology ; Water Resources
语种	英语
出版者	WILEY
WOS记录号	WOS:000677687500001
资助机构	Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences ; National Key Research and Development Program of China ; National Major Science and Technology Program for Water Pollution Control and Treatment ; Important Science & Technology Specific Projects of Qinghai Province ; National Natural Science Foundation of Qinghai Province
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/164747]
专题	中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者	Han, Yan
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Beijing, Peoples R China 2.Beijing Univ Technol, Coll Architecture & Civil Engn, Beijing, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Lv, Aifeng,Han, Yan,Zhu, Wenbin,et al. Risk Assessment of Water Resources Carrying Capacity in China[J]. JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN WATER RESOURCES ASSOCIATION,2021:13.
APA	Lv, Aifeng,Han, Yan,Zhu, Wenbin,Zhang, Shifeng,&Zhao, Weihua.(2021).Risk Assessment of Water Resources Carrying Capacity in China.JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN WATER RESOURCES ASSOCIATION,13.
MLA	Lv, Aifeng,et al."Risk Assessment of Water Resources Carrying Capacity in China".JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN WATER RESOURCES ASSOCIATION (2021):13.