Relationship of population migration, crop production pattern, and socioeconomic development: evidence from the early 21st century

doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac0e66

	Relationship of population migration, crop production pattern, and socioeconomic development: evidence from the early 21st century
	Zhang, Yajie 1,2; Zhao, Jie 3; Yan, Yuxing 3; Shi, Yu 3; Yu, Qiang 1,4,5
刊名	ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
	2021-07-01
卷号	16 期号:7 页码:11
关键词	migration of the center of gravity population density crop caloric yield Frechet distance stepwise regression analysis
ISSN号	1748-9326
DOI	10.1088/1748-9326/ac0e66
通讯作者	Zhang, Yajie(zhangyajie1990@yeah.net) ; Yu, Qiang(yuq@nwafu.edu.cn)
英文摘要	Global crop production and population distributions have undergone great changes under climate change and socioeconomic development, and have drawn considerable public attention. How to explain the similarity of the migration patterns of crop yield and population density for different countries/regions is still uncertain and worth studying. Here, we estimated the similarity between migrations of main crop caloric yield (i.e. maize, rice, wheat, and soybean) and population density using Frechet distance, and investigated the regression relationship between Frechet distance and related climatic and socioeconomic variables for countries/regions with different economic development stages. The results indicated that different countries/regions showed different Frechet distances during 2000-2015, with a maximum value of 24.44 for Russia and a minimum value of 0.11 for Georgia. For countries/regions with different economic development stages, the built regression models can explain 39%-93% of the variability in the Frechet distance. Log(land area), log(GDP), and log(land area under cereal production) were always included in regression models and had higher importance in explaining the variability of Frechet distance. For the model for all countries/regions, both the log(land area) and log(GDP per capita) may positively link to the Frechet distance. Possible reasons for these results are that countries/regions with high GDP (or GDP per capita) may ease the conflict of land resources between humans and crops to achieve agricultural industrialization, which causes the far connection of the migrations for crop caloric yield and population density. The complicated interactions of crop production, population dynamic, and socioeconomic development should be given greater attention in the future.
资助项目	National Natural Science Foundation of China[41961124006] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41730645] ; Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA20040301] ; '111 Project' of China[B12007]
WOS关键词	AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; YIELDS ; CHINA ; URBANIZATION ; CULTIVATION ; DISTANCE ; DENSITY ; FOOD
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
语种	英语
出版者	IOP PUBLISHING LTD
WOS记录号	WOS:000672137600001
资助机构	National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences ; '111 Project' of China
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/163837]
专题	中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者	Zhang, Yajie; Yu, Qiang
作者单位	1.Northwest A&F Univ, Inst Soil & Water Conservat, State Key Lab Soil Eros & Dryland Farming Loess P, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci & Minist Water Resources, Inst Soil & Water Conservat, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi, Peoples R China 3.Northwest A&F Univ, Coll Nat Resources & Environm, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi, Peoples R China 4.Univ Technol Sydney, Sch Life Sci, Sydney, NSW 2007, Australia 5.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Zhang, Yajie,Zhao, Jie,Yan, Yuxing,et al. Relationship of population migration, crop production pattern, and socioeconomic development: evidence from the early 21st century[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2021,16(7):11.
APA	Zhang, Yajie,Zhao, Jie,Yan, Yuxing,Shi, Yu,&Yu, Qiang.(2021).Relationship of population migration, crop production pattern, and socioeconomic development: evidence from the early 21st century.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,16(7),11.
MLA	Zhang, Yajie,et al."Relationship of population migration, crop production pattern, and socioeconomic development: evidence from the early 21st century".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 16.7(2021):11.