Typhoon storm surge in the southeast Chinese mainland modulated by ENSO

doi:10.1038/s41598-021-89507-7

CORC > 海洋研究所 > 中国科学院海洋研究所 > 海洋环流与波动重点实验室

	Typhoon storm surge in the southeast Chinese mainland modulated by ENSO
	Feng, Xingru 1,2,4,5,6; Li, Mingjie 3; Li, Yuanlong 1,4,5,6; Yu, Fujiang 3; Yang, Dezhou 1,2,4,5,6; Gao, Guandong 1,2,5,6; Xu, Lingjing 1,2,5,6; Yin, Baoshu 1,2,4,5,6
刊名	SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
	2021-05-12
卷号	11 期号:1 页码:11
ISSN号	2045-2322
DOI	10.1038/s41598-021-89507-7
通讯作者	Li, Mingjie(limj@nmefc.cn) ; Yin, Baoshu(bsyin@qdio.ac.cn)
英文摘要	In the past decade (2010-2019), the annual maximum typhoon storm surge (AMTSS) accounted for 46.6% of the total direct economic loss caused by marine disasters in Chinese mainland, but its prediction in advance is challenging. By analyzing records of 23 tide-gauge stations, we found that the AMTSSs in Shanghai, Zhejiang and Fujian show significant positive correlations with the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). For the 1987-2016 period, the maximum correlation is achieved at Pingtan station, where correlation coefficient between the AMTSS and Nino-3.4 is 0.55. The AMTSS occurring in El Nino years are stronger than those in non-El Nino years by 9-35 cm in these areas. Further analysis suggests that a developing El Nino can greatly modulate the behaviors of Northwest Pacific typhoons. Strong typhoons tend to make landfall in southeast China with stronger intensities and northward shifted landfall positions. This study indicates that the modulation effect by ENSO may provide potential predictability for the AMTSS, which is useful for the early alert and reduction of storm surge damages.
资助项目	NSFC-Shandong Joint Fund[U1806227] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41776016] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFC1402000] ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFC1401500] ; Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA19060202] ; Qingdao National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology[OCFL-201803]
WOS研究方向	Science & Technology - Other Topics
语种	英语
出版者	NATURE RESEARCH
WOS记录号	WOS:000652604100011
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.qdio.ac.cn/handle/337002/170986]
专题	海洋研究所_海洋环流与波动重点实验室海洋研究所_海洋生态与环境科学重点实验室
通讯作者	Li, Mingjie; Yin, Baoshu
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Ocean Mega Sci, 7 Nanhai Rd, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, CAS Engn Lab Marine Ranching, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China 3.Natl Marine Environm Forecasting Ctr, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China 4.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China 5.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, CAS Key Lab Ocean Circulat & Waves, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China 6.Pilot Natl Lab Marine Sci & Technol, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Feng, Xingru,Li, Mingjie,Li, Yuanlong,et al. Typhoon storm surge in the southeast Chinese mainland modulated by ENSO[J]. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,2021,11(1):11.
APA	Feng, Xingru.,Li, Mingjie.,Li, Yuanlong.,Yu, Fujiang.,Yang, Dezhou.,...&Yin, Baoshu.(2021).Typhoon storm surge in the southeast Chinese mainland modulated by ENSO.SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,11(1),11.
MLA	Feng, Xingru,et al."Typhoon storm surge in the southeast Chinese mainland modulated by ENSO".SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 11.1(2021):11.