Scenario-based extreme flood risk analysis of Xiong'an New Area in northern China

doi:10.1111/jfr3.12707

	Scenario-based extreme flood risk analysis of Xiong'an New Area in northern China
	Wu, Feng 1,2; Guo, Naliang 1,2; Kumar, Pankaj 3; Niu, Lulu 1,2
刊名	JOURNAL OF FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT
	2021-03-16
页码	10
关键词	different return periods scenarios flood risk hydrodynamic model inundation extent Xiong&apos an New Area
ISSN号	1753-318X
DOI	10.1111/jfr3.12707
通讯作者	Wu, Feng(wufeng@igsnrr.ac.cn)
英文摘要	Weather disasters, with floods amongst the most destructive, are increasingly being correlated with climate change. Flood warning measures, for which accurate simulation of flood evolution processes is required, are crucial to avoid human and economic losses. Xiong'an New Area was developed as a hub in northern China, implying an influx of residents and increased economic activity. However, this area is located downstream of the Baiyangdian Lake Basin; therefore, evaluating the flood risk here is vital. We applied a hydrodynamic model in our study and, to simulate the flood inundation process, we employed terrain spatial resolution; we calibrated and validated the model parameters using AnXin hydrological observation data. The results showed a relative water-level error of 5.25%, indicating our model was largely reliable. We calculated the annual exceedance probability of peak discharge against the magnitude and frequency of historical flood-peak streamflow in the basin. We simulated the flood submerged area under three scenarios, that is, return periods of 10, 50, and 100 years, and compared the effects of floods under these scenarios against the urban development planning of Xiong'an New Area. Our results provide practical guidance for flood control planning and crucial insight for urban planning in Xiong'an New Area.
资助项目	National Key Research and Development Plan project, National Basic Research Program of China (973 Program)[2016YFA0602504] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41971233] ; Chinese Academy of Sciences[XDA20100104]
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Water Resources
语种	英语
出版者	WILEY
WOS记录号	WOS:000629233200001
资助机构	National Key Research and Development Plan project, National Basic Research Program of China (973 Program) ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Chinese Academy of Sciences
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/162082]
专题	中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所
通讯作者	Wu, Feng
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, 11 Datun Rd, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing, Peoples R China 3.Univ Delhi, Delhi Sch Econ, Dept Geog, Delhi, India
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wu, Feng,Guo, Naliang,Kumar, Pankaj,et al. Scenario-based extreme flood risk analysis of Xiong'an New Area in northern China[J]. JOURNAL OF FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT,2021:10.
APA	Wu, Feng,Guo, Naliang,Kumar, Pankaj,&Niu, Lulu.(2021).Scenario-based extreme flood risk analysis of Xiong'an New Area in northern China.JOURNAL OF FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT,10.
MLA	Wu, Feng,et al."Scenario-based extreme flood risk analysis of Xiong'an New Area in northern China".JOURNAL OF FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT (2021):10.