Equilibrium analyses on structural changes of land uses in Jiangxi Province
Deng X. Z. ; Yin F.(殷芳) ; Lin Y. Z. ; Jin Q. ; Qu R. J.
刊名Journal of Food Agriculture & Environment
2012
卷号10期号:1页码:846-852
关键词Land use land use change equilibrium analysis CGELUC model Jiangxi urban land china dynamics expansion growth model
ISSN号1459-0255
通讯作者Deng, XZ
英文摘要Structural changes of land use are one of the hottest research fields among the regional environmental changes. Even so, there are few empirical studies touching the structural changes of land use by considering both the geophysical and socioeconomic influencing factors. This study is to build a computable general equilibrium of land-use changes (CGELUC) model to simulate the structural changes of land use in Jiangxi Province during 20102020 under four designed scenarios based on a Social Accounting Matrix (SAM). The simulation results show that the areas of cultivated land, water area, and unused land will decline, while forest cover, grassland, and built-up area of Jiangxi Province will expand between 2010 and 2020 under the baseline scenario. Comparatively, the subsidy for returning cultivated land inhibits the expansion of grassland of Jiangxi Province. The agricultural subsidy policy plays a positive role in conserving cultivated land and expanding the grassland cover at the cost of shrinking the forest cover, water area, and unused land. Additionally, the policies of subsidy for production of biofuel crops and timber positively promote the forest conservation and the shrinkage of water area and unused land. The scenario-based analysis results indicate that the performance of the policies affecting changes of land-use structures may vary over time.
收录类别SCI
资助信息National Key Programme for Developing Basic Science 2010CB950904;National Scientific Foundation of China 40801231 41071343 70873118;Ministry of Science and Technology of China 2010GXS5B163 2008BAC43B01 2008BAK50B05 2008BAK50B06;State Major Project for Water Pollution Control and Management 2009ZX07106-001
语种英语
公开日期2012-09-04
内容类型期刊论文
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/26951]  
专题地理科学与资源研究所_研究生部
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Deng X. Z.,Yin F.,Lin Y. Z.,et al. Equilibrium analyses on structural changes of land uses in Jiangxi Province[J]. Journal of Food Agriculture & Environment,2012,10(1):846-852.
APA Deng X. Z.,Yin F.,Lin Y. Z.,Jin Q.,&Qu R. J..(2012).Equilibrium analyses on structural changes of land uses in Jiangxi Province.Journal of Food Agriculture & Environment,10(1),846-852.
MLA Deng X. Z.,et al."Equilibrium analyses on structural changes of land uses in Jiangxi Province".Journal of Food Agriculture & Environment 10.1(2012):846-852.
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