A spatial scan statistic for nonisotropic two-level risk cluster | |
Li, Xiaozhou(李小洲) ; Wang, JF ; Yang, WZ ; Li, ZJ ; Lai, SJ | |
刊名 | STATISTICS IN MEDICINE |
2012 | |
卷号 | 31期号:2页码:177-187 |
关键词 | geographical disease surveillance hand-foot-mouth disease nonisotropic two-level risk cluster spatial scan statistic |
通讯作者 | Wang, JF |
英文摘要 | Spatial scan statistic methods are commonly used for geographical disease surveillance and cluster detection. The standard spatial scan statistic does not model any variability in the underlying risks of subregions belonging to a detected cluster. For a multilevel risk cluster, the isotonic spatial scan statistic could model a centralized high-risk kernel in the cluster. Because variations in disease risks are anisotropic owing to different social, economical, or transport factors, the real high-risk kernel will not necessarily take the central place in a whole cluster area. We propose a spatial scan statistic for a nonisotropic two-level risk cluster, which could be used to detect a whole cluster and a noncentralized high-risk kernel within the cluster simultaneously. The performance of the three methods was evaluated through an intensive simulation study. Our proposed nonisotropic two-level method showed better power and geographical precision with two-level risk cluster scenarios, especially for a noncentralized high-risk kernel. Our proposed method is illustrated using the handfootmouth disease data in Pingdu City, Shandong, China in May 2009, compared with two other methods. In this practical study, the nonisotropic two-level method is the only way to precisely detect a high-risk area in a detected whole cluster. |
收录类别 | SCI |
资助信息 | Ministry of Science and Technology of the People's Republic of China (MOST), China 2009ZX1004-201 2008BA156B02 2006BAK01A13;National Nature Science Foundation of China (NSFC) 41023010;Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) XDA05090102 |
语种 | 英语 |
公开日期 | 2012-02-21 |
内容类型 | 期刊论文 |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/8478] |
专题 | 地理科学与资源研究所_研究生部 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Li, Xiaozhou,Wang, JF,Yang, WZ,et al. A spatial scan statistic for nonisotropic two-level risk cluster[J]. STATISTICS IN MEDICINE,2012,31(2):177-187. |
APA | Li, Xiaozhou,Wang, JF,Yang, WZ,Li, ZJ,&Lai, SJ.(2012).A spatial scan statistic for nonisotropic two-level risk cluster.STATISTICS IN MEDICINE,31(2),177-187. |
MLA | Li, Xiaozhou,et al."A spatial scan statistic for nonisotropic two-level risk cluster".STATISTICS IN MEDICINE 31.2(2012):177-187. |
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