A spatial scan statistic for nonisotropic two-level risk cluster
Li, Xiaozhou(李小洲) ; Wang, JF ; Yang, WZ ; Li, ZJ ; Lai, SJ
刊名STATISTICS IN MEDICINE
2012
卷号31期号:2页码:177-187
关键词geographical disease surveillance hand-foot-mouth disease nonisotropic two-level risk cluster spatial scan statistic
通讯作者Wang, JF
英文摘要Spatial scan statistic methods are commonly used for geographical disease surveillance and cluster detection. The standard spatial scan statistic does not model any variability in the underlying risks of subregions belonging to a detected cluster. For a multilevel risk cluster, the isotonic spatial scan statistic could model a centralized high-risk kernel in the cluster. Because variations in disease risks are anisotropic owing to different social, economical, or transport factors, the real high-risk kernel will not necessarily take the central place in a whole cluster area. We propose a spatial scan statistic for a nonisotropic two-level risk cluster, which could be used to detect a whole cluster and a noncentralized high-risk kernel within the cluster simultaneously. The performance of the three methods was evaluated through an intensive simulation study. Our proposed nonisotropic two-level method showed better power and geographical precision with two-level risk cluster scenarios, especially for a noncentralized high-risk kernel. Our proposed method is illustrated using the handfootmouth disease data in Pingdu City, Shandong, China in May 2009, compared with two other methods. In this practical study, the nonisotropic two-level method is the only way to precisely detect a high-risk area in a detected whole cluster.
收录类别SCI
资助信息Ministry of Science and Technology of the People's Republic of China (MOST), China 2009ZX1004-201 2008BA156B02 2006BAK01A13;National Nature Science Foundation of China (NSFC) 41023010;Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) XDA05090102
语种英语
公开日期2012-02-21
内容类型期刊论文
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/8478]  
专题地理科学与资源研究所_研究生部
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Li, Xiaozhou,Wang, JF,Yang, WZ,et al. A spatial scan statistic for nonisotropic two-level risk cluster[J]. STATISTICS IN MEDICINE,2012,31(2):177-187.
APA Li, Xiaozhou,Wang, JF,Yang, WZ,Li, ZJ,&Lai, SJ.(2012).A spatial scan statistic for nonisotropic two-level risk cluster.STATISTICS IN MEDICINE,31(2),177-187.
MLA Li, Xiaozhou,et al."A spatial scan statistic for nonisotropic two-level risk cluster".STATISTICS IN MEDICINE 31.2(2012):177-187.
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