Global warming shifts Pacific tropical cyclone location

doi:10.1029/2010GL045124

	Global warming shifts Pacific tropical cyclone location
	Li, Tim 1; Kwon, MinHo 1,3; Zhao, Ming 3; Kug, Jong-Seong 2; Luo, Jing-Jia 4; Yu, Weidong 5
刊名	GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
	2010-11-03
卷号	37
ISSN号	0094-8276
DOI	10.1029/2010GL045124
英文摘要	A global high-resolution (similar to 40 km) atmospheric general circulation model (ECHAM5 T319) is used to investigate the change of tropical cyclone frequency in the North Pacific under global warming. A time slice method is used in which sea surface temperature fields derived from a lower-resolution coupled model run under the 20C3M (in which historical greenhouse gases in 20th century were prescribed as a radiative forcing) and A1B (in which carbon dioxide concentration was increased 1% each year from 2000 to 2070 and then was kept constant) scenarios are specified as the lower boundary conditions to simulate the current and the future warming climate, respectively. A significant shift is found in the location of tropical cyclones from the western to central Pacific. The shift to more tropical cyclones in the central and less in the western Pacific is not attributable to a change in atmospheric static stability, but to a change in the variance of tropical synoptic-scale perturbations associated with a change in the background vertical wind shear and boundary layer divergence. Citation: Li, T., M. Kwon, M. Zhao, J.-S. Kug, J.-J. Luo, and W. Yu (2010), Global warming shifts Pacific tropical cyclone location, Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L21804, doi:10.1029/2010GL045124.
资助项目	KORDI[PE98537]
WOS关键词	WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; FREQUENCY ; VARIABILITY ; INTENSITY ; SIMULATION ; ORIGIN ; MODEL ; WAVES ; GCM
WOS研究方向	Geology
语种	英语
出版者	AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
WOS记录号	WOS:000283941700013
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.fio.com.cn:8080/handle/2SI8HI0U/25711]
专题	自然资源部第一海洋研究所
通讯作者	Li, Tim
作者单位	1.Univ Hawaii Manoa, Int Pacific Res Ctr, Honolulu, HI 96822 USA 2.Korea Ocean Res & Dev Inst, Ansan 426744, Gyeonggi, South Korea 3.NOAA, GFDL, Princeton, NJ 08542 USA 4.JAMSTEC, Res Inst Climate Change, Kanazawa Ku, Kanagawa 2360001, Japan 5.State Ocean Adm, Inst Oceanog 1, Qingdao 266061, Shandong, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Li, Tim,Kwon, MinHo,Zhao, Ming,et al. Global warming shifts Pacific tropical cyclone location[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2010,37.
APA	Li, Tim,Kwon, MinHo,Zhao, Ming,Kug, Jong-Seong,Luo, Jing-Jia,&Yu, Weidong.(2010).Global warming shifts Pacific tropical cyclone location.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,37.
MLA	Li, Tim,et al."Global warming shifts Pacific tropical cyclone location".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 37(2010).