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Financial Time Series Analysis in a Fuzzy View
Li, Zhuyu1; Wang, Taiji1; Zhang, Cheng2
2009
卷号35
页码705-+
英文摘要In financial markets, fuzzy data are always observed. These observations are recorded in the form of intervals. In this paper, we constructed a fuzzy financial time series to describe the dynamic characters Of Such uncertain observations, tested the stationary of it and then proposed a fuzzy auto-regression model (FAR). We estimated the unknown parameters with Fuzzy Linear Program (FLP) method and gave a principle of evaluating the fitness of the model by using the sample average of the closeness (SAC). An empirical analysis would go to Shanghai Composite Index (SCI), in which we illustrated the modeling of fuzzy financial time series, evaluation of the fitness of the model and the modeling forecast effect.
会议录出版者SPRINGER-VERLAG BERLIN
会议录出版地HEIDELBERGER PLATZ 3, D-14197 BERLIN, GERMANY
语种英语
WOS研究方向Business & Economics ; Computer Science ; Operations Research & Management Science ; Mathematical Methods In Social Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:000269751700105
内容类型会议论文
源URL[http://10.2.47.112/handle/2XS4QKH4/3184]  
专题上海财经大学
作者单位1.Sichuan Univ, Math Coll, Chengdu 610064, Peoples R China;
2.Shanghai Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Accountancy, Shanghai 200433, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Li, Zhuyu,Wang, Taiji,Zhang, Cheng. Financial Time Series Analysis in a Fuzzy View[C]. 见:.
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