Financial Time Series Analysis in a Fuzzy View | |
Li, Zhuyu1; Wang, Taiji1; Zhang, Cheng2 | |
2009 | |
卷号 | 35 |
页码 | 705-+ |
英文摘要 | In financial markets, fuzzy data are always observed. These observations are recorded in the form of intervals. In this paper, we constructed a fuzzy financial time series to describe the dynamic characters Of Such uncertain observations, tested the stationary of it and then proposed a fuzzy auto-regression model (FAR). We estimated the unknown parameters with Fuzzy Linear Program (FLP) method and gave a principle of evaluating the fitness of the model by using the sample average of the closeness (SAC). An empirical analysis would go to Shanghai Composite Index (SCI), in which we illustrated the modeling of fuzzy financial time series, evaluation of the fitness of the model and the modeling forecast effect. |
会议录出版者 | SPRINGER-VERLAG BERLIN |
会议录出版地 | HEIDELBERGER PLATZ 3, D-14197 BERLIN, GERMANY |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Computer Science ; Operations Research & Management Science ; Mathematical Methods In Social Sciences |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000269751700105 |
内容类型 | 会议论文 |
源URL | [http://10.2.47.112/handle/2XS4QKH4/3184] |
专题 | 上海财经大学 |
作者单位 | 1.Sichuan Univ, Math Coll, Chengdu 610064, Peoples R China; 2.Shanghai Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Accountancy, Shanghai 200433, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Li, Zhuyu,Wang, Taiji,Zhang, Cheng. Financial Time Series Analysis in a Fuzzy View[C]. 见:. |
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