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Trading strategy based on dynamic mode decomposition: tested in chinese stock market
Cui, Ling-xiao; Long, Wen1
刊名Physica a-statistical mechanics and its applications
2016-11-01
卷号461页码:498-508
关键词Dynamic mode decomposition Technical analysis Trading strategy Superior predictive ability
ISSN号0378-4371
DOI10.1016/j.physa.2016.06.046
通讯作者Long, wen(longwen@ucas.ac.cn)
英文摘要Dynamic mode decomposition (dmd) is an effective method to capture the intrinsic dynamical modes of complex system. in this work, we adopt dmd method to discover the evolutionary patterns in stock market and apply it to chinese a-share stock market. we design two strategies based on dmd algorithm. the strategy which considers only timing problem can make reliable profits in a choppy market with no prominent trend while fails to beat the benchmark moving-average strategy in bull market. after considering the spatial information from spatial-temporal coherent structure of dmd modes, we improved the trading strategy remarkably. then the dmd strategies profitability is quantitatively evaluated by performing spa test to correct the data-snooping effect. the results further prove that dmd algorithm can model the market patterns well in sideways market. (c) 2016 elsevier b.v. all rights reserved.
WOS关键词TIME-SERIES ; RULES ; RETURNS ; EFFICIENCY ; MOMENTUM
WOS研究方向Physics
WOS类目Physics, Multidisciplinary
语种英语
出版者ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
WOS记录号WOS:000380601200045
内容类型期刊论文
URI标识http://www.corc.org.cn/handle/1471x/2375125
专题中国科学院大学
通讯作者Long, Wen
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Res Ctr Fictitious Econ & Data Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Big Data Min & Knowledge Management, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Cui, Ling-xiao,Long, Wen. Trading strategy based on dynamic mode decomposition: tested in chinese stock market[J]. Physica a-statistical mechanics and its applications,2016,461:498-508.
APA Cui, Ling-xiao,&Long, Wen.(2016).Trading strategy based on dynamic mode decomposition: tested in chinese stock market.Physica a-statistical mechanics and its applications,461,498-508.
MLA Cui, Ling-xiao,et al."Trading strategy based on dynamic mode decomposition: tested in chinese stock market".Physica a-statistical mechanics and its applications 461(2016):498-508.
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