A hybrid coupled ocean-atmosphere model and ENSO prediction study

CORC > 海洋研究所 > 中国科学院海洋研究所 > 海洋环流与波动重点实验室

	A hybrid coupled ocean-atmosphere model and ENSO prediction study
	Wu, AM; Ni, YQ
刊名	ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
	1999
卷号	16 期号:3 页码:405-418
关键词	El-nino System
ISSN号	0256-1530
英文摘要	A hybrid coupled ocean-atmosphere model is designed, which consists of a global AGCM and a simple anomaly ocean model in the tropical Pacific. Retroactive experimental predictions initiated in each season from 1979 to 1994 are performed. Analyses indicate that: (1) The overall predictive capability of this model for SSTA over the central-eastern tropical Pacific can reach one year, and the error is not larger than 0.8 degrees C. (2) The prediction skill depends greatly on the season when forecasts start. However, the phenomenon of SPB (spring prediction barrier) is not found in the model. (3) The ensemble forecast method can effectively improve prediction results. A new initialization scheme is discussed.
学科主题	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
公开日期	2010-12-22
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.qdio.ac.cn/handle/337002/2555]
专题	海洋研究所_海洋环流与波动重点实验室
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wu, AM,Ni, YQ. A hybrid coupled ocean-atmosphere model and ENSO prediction study[J]. ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES,1999,16(3):405-418.
APA	Wu, AM,&Ni, YQ.(1999).A hybrid coupled ocean-atmosphere model and ENSO prediction study.ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES,16(3),405-418.
MLA	Wu, AM,et al."A hybrid coupled ocean-atmosphere model and ENSO prediction study".ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES 16.3(1999):405-418.