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	Bioenergy and Food Supply: A Spatial-Agent Dynamic Model of Agricultural Land Use for Jiangsu Province in China
	Shu K. S.; Schneider, U. A.; Scheffran, J.
	2015
关键词	bioenergy supply agent-based model land use general algebraic modeling system (GAMS) China programming sector models greenhouse-gas mitigation developing-countries biofuels production energy aggregation emissions security illinois
英文摘要	In this paper we develop an agent-based model to explore a feasible way of simultaneously providing sufficient food and bioenergy feedstocks in China. Concerns over the competition for agricultural land resources between food and bioenergy supply hinder the further development of bioenergy, especially in China, the country that needs to feed the world's largest population. Prior research has suggested the introduction of energy crops and reviewed the resulting agricultural land use change in China. However, there is a lack of quantitative studies which estimate the value, contribution, and impact of bioenergy for specific conditions at the county level and provide adequate information to guide local practices. To fill this gap, we choose the Jiangsu Province in China as a case study, build up a spatial-agent dynamic model of agricultural land use, and perform a sensitivity analysis for important parameters. The simulation results show that straw from conventional crops generally dominates Jiangsu's biomass supply with a contribution above 85%. The sensitivity analyses reveal severe consequences of bioenergy targets for local land use. For Jiangsu Province, reclaimed mudflats, an alternative to arable lands for energy crop plantation, help to secure the local biomass supply and to alleviate the land use conflict between food and biomass production.
出处	Energies
卷	8
期	11
页	13284-13307
语种	英语
ISSN号	1996-1073
DOI标识	10.3390/en81112369
内容类型	SCI/SSCI论文
源URL	[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/43565]
专题	地理科学与资源研究所_历年回溯文献
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Shu K. S.,Schneider, U. A.,Scheffran, J.. Bioenergy and Food Supply: A Spatial-Agent Dynamic Model of Agricultural Land Use for Jiangsu Province in China. 2015.

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