Timing the market: the economic value of price extremes

doi:10.1186/s40854-018-0110-4

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	Timing the market: the economic value of price extremes
	Xie,Haibin 1; Wang,Shouyang2
刊名	Financial Innovation
	2018-11-07
卷号	4 期号:1
关键词	Price extremes Return decomposition Asymmetry Return predictability
ISSN号	2199-4730
DOI	10.1186/s40854-018-0110-4
英文摘要	AbstractBy decomposing asset returns into potential maximum gain (PMG) and potential maximum loss (PML) with price extremes, this study empirically investigated the relationships between PMG and PML. We found significant asymmetry between PMG and PML. PML significantly contributed to forecasting PMG but not vice versa. We further explored the power of this asymmetry for predicting asset returns and found it could significantly improve asset return predictability in both in-sample and out-of-sample forecasting. Investors who incorporate this asymmetry into their investment decisions can get substantial utility gains. This asymmetry remains significant even when controlling for macroeconomic variables, technical indicators, market sentiment, and skewness. Moreover, this asymmetry was found to be quite general across different countries.
语种	英语
出版者	Springer Berlin Heidelberg
WOS记录号	BMC:10.1186/S40854-018-0110-4
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/31208]
专题	系统科学研究所
通讯作者	Wang,Shouyang
作者单位	1. 2.
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Xie,Haibin,Wang,Shouyang. Timing the market: the economic value of price extremes[J]. Financial Innovation,2018,4(1).
APA	Xie,Haibin,&Wang,Shouyang.(2018).Timing the market: the economic value of price extremes.Financial Innovation,4(1).
MLA	Xie,Haibin,et al."Timing the market: the economic value of price extremes".Financial Innovation 4.1(2018).