Evaluating and Predicting Shadow Prices of Water Resources in China and Its Nine Major River Basins

doi:10.1007/s11269-008-9336-7

CORC > 数学与系统科学研究院 > 中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院 > 系统科学研究所

	Evaluating and Predicting Shadow Prices of Water Resources in China and Its Nine Major River Basins
	Liu, Xiuli; Chen, Xikang; Wang, Shouyang
刊名	WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT
	2009-06-01
卷号	23 期号:8 页码:1467-1478
关键词	Water shadow price Linear programming model Input-output analysis Nonlinear model River basin China
ISSN号	0920-4741
DOI	10.1007/s11269-008-9336-7
英文摘要	Water pricing plays a crucial role in water resources management. Water shadow price is an important reference in setting water price. It was said that in practice it is almost impossible to obtain water shadow price by solving a linear programming model. In this paper we use water conservancy economy input-occupancy-output tables of the nine Chinese major river basins, and combining input-output analysis method with linear programming method we develop a linear programming model with restrictions on the final demand, total output, trade balance and water availability. We estimate the water shadow prices for industrial water and productive water for the nine Chinese major river basins in 1999 and compared these results with the real industrial water price in China in 1999. Then, for operational purposes and to estimate the shadow prices of industrial water and productive water more easily, and using a Gauss-Newton nonlinear simulation method, we present two nonlinear models that relate the ratio of the volume of water used to the total water resources volume with the shadow prices to predict shadow prices of industrial water and productive water in 2020 and 2030 in China and its nine major river basins.
WOS研究方向	Engineering ; Water Resources
语种	英语
出版者	SPRINGER
WOS记录号	WOS:000265881700002
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.amss.ac.cn/handle/2S8OKBNM/8186]
专题	系统科学研究所
通讯作者	Liu, Xiuli
作者单位	Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Inst Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Liu, Xiuli,Chen, Xikang,Wang, Shouyang. Evaluating and Predicting Shadow Prices of Water Resources in China and Its Nine Major River Basins[J]. WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT,2009,23(8):1467-1478.
APA	Liu, Xiuli,Chen, Xikang,&Wang, Shouyang.(2009).Evaluating and Predicting Shadow Prices of Water Resources in China and Its Nine Major River Basins.WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT,23(8),1467-1478.
MLA	Liu, Xiuli,et al."Evaluating and Predicting Shadow Prices of Water Resources in China and Its Nine Major River Basins".WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT 23.8(2009):1467-1478.