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	地理、制度与人均收入:基于经济发展阶段的考察
	罗金峰 ; 文一 ; Jinfeng Luo ; Yi Wen
	2016-03-30 ; 2016-03-30
关键词	地理 制度 人均收入 经济发展 工业化 F127
其他题名	Geography,Institutions and Per Capita Income: An Investigation Based on Economic Development Stage
中文摘要	探索长期经济发展的驱动力和跨国收入差距的原因是经济学孜孜以求的目标。在这一问题上,强调地理因素与强调制度因素的学者进行了长期论战,至今没有达成一致。运用工具变量回归方法对跨国截面数据进行考察,本文发现,对农业国和工业国而言,其人均收入的决定因素并不相同。农业国间的收入差距显著地与其地理因素相联系,而工业国间的收入差距显著地与其制度因素相联系。更重要的是,是地理因素而非制度因素决定了一国的工业化水平,或者说,决定了一个国家能否更早进入工业国行列。因此,地理环境不仅对农业国的人均收入有很强的解释力,同时也是迈入工业国倶乐部的入场券。但在进入工业化社会之后,制度因素则取代地理因素成了人均收入的决定力量。本文的分析表明,好的制度环境必须与相应的生产方式匹配才能强有力地促进经济发展和人均收入的增长,而并非在任何情况下都是长期经济增长和跨国收入差距的决定因素。; Understanding cross country income differences and discovering long-term economics growth drivers has been the ultimate goal and challenge to development and macro economists?but no consensus has ever been reached. By utilizing crosscountry data and instrumental variables widely used in literatures, we demonstrated that agrarian countries and industrial countries have quite different driving forces for development. Geographical factors can effectively explain income differences across agrarian countries, while institutional factors largely account for income differences across industrial countries. Such findings explain the source of the controversy between the institutional school and the geographical school : they both implicitly assume that agrarian and industrialized economies have the same fundamental driving forces of development, which is rejected by our empirical analysis. Moreover, we found that it is geography rather than institutions that determines the industrializationlevels and the likelihood of escaping the agrarian trap. Our findings suggest that high institutional quality could promote per capita income growth only if it is matched with the mode of industrial production itself. This finding may help reconcile the apparent contradiction between the institutional theory of development and China's growth miracle.
语种	中文 ; 中文
内容类型	期刊论文
源URL	[http://ir.lib.tsinghua.edu.cn/ir/item.do?handle=123456789/145795]
专题	清华大学
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	罗金峰,文一,Jinfeng Luo,等. 地理、制度与人均收入:基于经济发展阶段的考察[J],2016, 2016.
APA	罗金峰,文一,Jinfeng Luo,&Yi Wen.(2016).地理、制度与人均收入:基于经济发展阶段的考察..
MLA	罗金峰,et al."地理、制度与人均收入:基于经济发展阶段的考察".(2016).

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